Preseason Rankings
Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.8#327
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace80.2#11
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#335
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#292
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 11.0% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 8.3% 26.7% 7.6%
.500 or above in Conference 7.7% 15.8% 7.4%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.2% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 9.4% 4.4% 9.6%
First Four5.1% 6.6% 5.0%
First Round2.8% 7.1% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 46 - 76 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 110   @ Marshall L 75-94 4%    
  Nov 26, 2020 269   Tennessee St. L 73-79 30%    
  Nov 28, 2020 5   @ Duke L 65-97 0.2%   
  Dec 03, 2020 184   @ Towson L 66-79 11%    
  Dec 06, 2020 190   @ Drexel L 70-83 12%    
  Dec 08, 2020 88   @ Georgetown L 69-90 3%    
  Dec 13, 2020 202   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70-76 30%    
  Dec 16, 2020 123   @ George Mason L 65-83 6%    
  Dec 19, 2020 56   @ Virginia Tech L 59-83 2%    
  Dec 29, 2020 273   @ Rider L 75-83 24%    
  Jan 02, 2021 244   @ Norfolk St. L 68-78 20%    
  Jan 09, 2021 326   Howard W 83-80 61%    
  Jan 18, 2021 244   Norfolk St. L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 20, 2021 323   @ Morgan St. L 75-79 38%    
  Jan 30, 2021 244   @ Norfolk St. L 68-78 21%    
  Feb 06, 2021 326   Howard W 83-80 59%    
  Feb 10, 2021 323   Morgan St. W 78-76 58%    
  Feb 15, 2021 326   @ Howard L 80-83 41%    
  Feb 20, 2021 323   Morgan St. W 78-76 58%    
  Mar 04, 2021 323   @ Morgan St. L 75-79 39%    
Projected Record 6 - 14 4 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.3 0.6 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.7 4.0 1.1 0.1 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.5 5.8 1.5 0.1 14.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 2.4 7.6 7.2 2.0 0.1 0.0 19.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 2.9 6.9 6.7 1.9 0.2 19.1 7th
8th 0.2 2.1 5.0 4.8 1.9 0.2 14.2 8th
9th 1.0 3.0 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.2 9th
10th 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 3.1 10th
Total 2.4 7.1 11.7 15.4 17.7 15.9 13.4 8.7 5.1 2.1 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 42.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 13.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-8 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.5% 36.2% 36.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
9-7 2.1% 24.5% 24.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6
8-8 5.1% 19.1% 19.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 4.1
7-9 8.7% 15.0% 15.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 7.4
6-10 13.4% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2 12.1
5-11 15.9% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9 15.0
4-12 17.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 17.2
3-13 15.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 15.2
2-14 11.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.7
1-15 7.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.1
0-16 2.4% 2.4
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.6 94.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%